OPINION | Views expressed in this article reflect the author's opinion.
via PBS NewsHour

Major cable news networks are alarmed by polls showing former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in hypothetical 2024 matchups.

CNN analysts said Trump would be the “heavy favorite” based on current state-level polling, flipping key states Biden won like Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin.

“So, let’s go ahead and we’re going to look at the race to 270, right, because at the end of the day, it’s all about delegates,” CNN analyst Harry Enten said.

An MSNBC reporter said Trump is “leading in these polls right now” because he is “picking off Biden voters” more than the reverse.

Recent national polls back this up, with one CBS News poll showing Trump ahead by 4 points as voters view the economy more positively under Trump.

“Here’s the 2020 map, right? Joe Biden won with 306 electoral votes. Donald Trump got 232. But look at where our projections are right now, our race ratings right now, what do we see? We see something completely different. We see Donald Trump at 272, Joe Biden at just 225. So, if the election were held today, which it obviously isn’t, we have months and months to go, Donald Trump would be a heavy favorite. And he is flipping states at this particular point, and we would expect that, like Georgia, that Joe Biden won, Nevada, that Joe Biden won, Arizona state, Joe Biden won, toss-up. Same in Wisconsin and the upper Midwest. Same with Pennsylvania. And Michigan, where we obviously held that primary last week, at this particular point leaning Republican,” Enten said.

“So, folks, if you have it in your mind that Donald Trump is just popular enough to win the Republican nomination, lose that thought because at this particular point when matched up against Joe Biden, Donald Trump is a favorite, which is something we couldn’t say at any point in 2020 and really wasn’t something that we could say at any point in 2016 when he was matched up against Hillary Clinton,” he said.

Analysts on both networks expressed surprise, as Trump was not considered competitive against Biden at any point in 2020 or 2016.

“If you’re looking at the primaries and saying there’s all this evidence of Republicans turning on Trump in the fall, you’re not seeing it in the general election polling,” MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki said.

“The reason Trump is leading in these polls right now…they’re picking off Biden voters right now more than Biden is picking off Trump voters,” he said.

However, months before the next election, current polling suggests Trump has the upper hand in a rematch with Biden and is favored to win the GOP nomination.

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The networks appear worried about Trump’s rising popularity and Biden’s weak standing.

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